Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.333027 0.395128 0.464496 0.547561 0.644161 0.752786 0.884016
2025-01-26 0.249215 0.331784 0.433931 0.568888 0.741723 0.954785 1.236379
2025-02-02 0.218715 0.316322 0.446193 0.630068 0.881842 1.212368 1.676569
2025-02-09 0.186558 0.289455 0.435025 0.653367 0.969306 1.405939 2.050093
2025-02-16 0.154593 0.255671 0.406811 0.645523 1.008274 1.532783 2.340550
2025-02-23 0.126708 0.222437 0.373137 0.622757 1.019453 1.617059 2.573748
2025-03-02 0.103579 0.192435 0.339283 0.593625 1.015022 1.674361 2.768113
2025-03-09 0.093782 0.183045 0.336912 0.613844 1.089301 1.857565 3.170911
2025-03-16 0.078941 0.162121 0.311835 0.592057 1.090844 1.923383 3.390179
2025-03-23 0.071607 0.153851 0.307635 0.605547 1.152784 2.092276 3.791196
2025-03-30 0.064938 0.145739 0.302473 0.616248 1.210150 2.257294 4.197969
2025-04-06 0.057007 0.133742 0.288222 0.607904 1.231425 2.360405 4.504433
2025-04-13 0.050283 0.123513 0.276695 0.604641 1.264165 2.490991 4.879029
2025-04-20 0.046855 0.120029 0.278526 0.628451 1.351851 2.730453 5.473726
2025-04-27 0.047368 0.125661 0.300220 0.695515 1.531438 3.156338 6.448385
2025-05-04 0.044392 0.122470 0.302257 0.721037 1.629107 3.433200 7.161233
2025-05-11 0.039322 0.113207 0.289389 0.712446 1.654809 3.571233 7.615655
2025-05-18 0.033888 0.101985 0.270350 0.687506 1.642718 3.632105 7.921426
2025-05-25 0.028812 0.090719 0.249507 0.655583 1.611563 3.650581 8.141839
2025-06-01 0.027197 0.088773 0.251379 0.677740 1.703584 3.932830 8.925653
2025-06-08 0.023547 0.080240 0.235238 0.653864 1.687342 3.983023 9.226173
2025-06-15 0.022023 0.077773 0.234615 0.668648 1.762931 4.237538 9.979840
2025-06-22 0.020506 0.075042 0.232895 0.680374 1.832222 4.483240 10.731558